Mar 7, 2021 · 29m · another-podcast

App stores: arguing like it's 2009

Benedict Evans · 23m spoken Toni Cowan-Brown · 3m spoken
0:00 / 0:00

gold bands on the timeline = statements, start to end. Hover to read, click to jump. CC turns on captions

In this podcast episode, technology analyst Benedict Evans and co-host Toni Karen Brown examine the technical, economic, and antitrust controversies surrounding mobile app store monopolies and developer restrictions. They analyze the difficult trade-offs between closed platform security and open market competition, exploring how major platforms like Apple are transitioning toward heavily regulated digital utilities.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. The hosts hold 86.5% of the talking time here. How this is scored →

The hosts as informed peer 8.1 Guest teaching 1.0 Guest disagreement 1.3 The hosts pushing back 2.1
05100:0010:0020:000:44–3:40 · The hosts as informed peer 8/10 Origins of the App Store and the 30 Percent Fee Benedict provides a detailed historical breakdown of the App Store's origin, the 2011 policy changes for in-app purchases, and tiered revenue splits. Tony asks clarifying questions and summarizes without challenging the host.3:41–8:59 · The hosts as informed peer 9/10 Edge Cases, Margin Clashes, and Opaque Developer Policies Benedict walks through several detailed industry edge cases including Bloomberg, Spotify margin structures, Basecamp's Hey app, and WordPress. Tony participates collaboratively by highlighting the lack of developer appeals.9:00–13:56 · The hosts as informed peer 8/10 The Closed vs. Open Debate: Security and User Protection Benedict dismantles the naive anti-sandbox perspective, contrasting user safety against developer freedom and explaining technical issues like sideloading and background execution. Tony prompts the discussion by asking about ethical trade-offs between open and closed systems.13:56–20:14 · The hosts as informed peer 9/10 Market Dominance, Epic's Lawsuit, and Regulatory Dilemmas Benedict explains antitrust legal thresholds tied to Apple's dominant market share and exposes flaws in flat download fee proposals. Tony introduces an effective analogy regarding European consumer protection standards.20:14–23:21 · The hosts as informed peer 8/10 Privacy as Platform Power: IDFA, Cookies, and Advertising Benedict outlines the technical and economic implications of IDFA removal and SKAdNetwork on ad ecosystems, highlighting how privacy framing is leveraged as platform power. Tony serves as an engaged sounding board.23:21–28:16 · The hosts as informed peer 8/10 Platform Governance, the Digital Markets Act, and Unintended Consequences Benedict evaluates the EU's Digital Markets Act and warns against ill-fitting regulatory micromanagement of product architectures. Tony prompts the analysis by questioning the systemic scope across big tech.28:16–29:48 · The hosts as informed peer 7/10 Impacts on Innovation and Tech as a Regulated Utility Benedict synthesizes the thesis that tech platforms are evolving into regulated utilities akin to the food supply chain. Tony concurs and concludes the episode seamlessly.0:44–3:40 · Guest teaching 0/10 Origins of the App Store and the 30 Percent Fee Benedict provides a detailed historical breakdown of the App Store's origin, the 2011 policy changes for in-app purchases, and tiered revenue splits. Tony asks clarifying questions and summarizes without challenging the host.3:41–8:59 · Guest teaching 1/10 Edge Cases, Margin Clashes, and Opaque Developer Policies Benedict walks through several detailed industry edge cases including Bloomberg, Spotify margin structures, Basecamp's Hey app, and WordPress. Tony participates collaboratively by highlighting the lack of developer appeals.9:00–13:56 · Guest teaching 1/10 The Closed vs. Open Debate: Security and User Protection Benedict dismantles the naive anti-sandbox perspective, contrasting user safety against developer freedom and explaining technical issues like sideloading and background execution. Tony prompts the discussion by asking about ethical trade-offs between open and closed systems.13:56–20:14 · Guest teaching 2/10 Market Dominance, Epic's Lawsuit, and Regulatory Dilemmas Benedict explains antitrust legal thresholds tied to Apple's dominant market share and exposes flaws in flat download fee proposals. Tony introduces an effective analogy regarding European consumer protection standards.20:14–23:21 · Guest teaching 1/10 Privacy as Platform Power: IDFA, Cookies, and Advertising Benedict outlines the technical and economic implications of IDFA removal and SKAdNetwork on ad ecosystems, highlighting how privacy framing is leveraged as platform power. Tony serves as an engaged sounding board.23:21–28:16 · Guest teaching 1/10 Platform Governance, the Digital Markets Act, and Unintended Consequences Benedict evaluates the EU's Digital Markets Act and warns against ill-fitting regulatory micromanagement of product architectures. Tony prompts the analysis by questioning the systemic scope across big tech.28:16–29:48 · Guest teaching 1/10 Impacts on Innovation and Tech as a Regulated Utility Benedict synthesizes the thesis that tech platforms are evolving into regulated utilities akin to the food supply chain. Tony concurs and concludes the episode seamlessly.0:44–3:40 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Origins of the App Store and the 30 Percent Fee Benedict provides a detailed historical breakdown of the App Store's origin, the 2011 policy changes for in-app purchases, and tiered revenue splits. Tony asks clarifying questions and summarizes without challenging the host.3:41–8:59 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Edge Cases, Margin Clashes, and Opaque Developer Policies Benedict walks through several detailed industry edge cases including Bloomberg, Spotify margin structures, Basecamp's Hey app, and WordPress. Tony participates collaboratively by highlighting the lack of developer appeals.9:00–13:56 · Guest disagreement 2/10 The Closed vs. Open Debate: Security and User Protection Benedict dismantles the naive anti-sandbox perspective, contrasting user safety against developer freedom and explaining technical issues like sideloading and background execution. Tony prompts the discussion by asking about ethical trade-offs between open and closed systems.13:56–20:14 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Market Dominance, Epic's Lawsuit, and Regulatory Dilemmas Benedict explains antitrust legal thresholds tied to Apple's dominant market share and exposes flaws in flat download fee proposals. Tony introduces an effective analogy regarding European consumer protection standards.20:14–23:21 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Privacy as Platform Power: IDFA, Cookies, and Advertising Benedict outlines the technical and economic implications of IDFA removal and SKAdNetwork on ad ecosystems, highlighting how privacy framing is leveraged as platform power. Tony serves as an engaged sounding board.23:21–28:16 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Platform Governance, the Digital Markets Act, and Unintended Consequences Benedict evaluates the EU's Digital Markets Act and warns against ill-fitting regulatory micromanagement of product architectures. Tony prompts the analysis by questioning the systemic scope across big tech.28:16–29:48 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Impacts on Innovation and Tech as a Regulated Utility Benedict synthesizes the thesis that tech platforms are evolving into regulated utilities akin to the food supply chain. Tony concurs and concludes the episode seamlessly.0:44–3:40 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 Origins of the App Store and the 30 Percent Fee Benedict provides a detailed historical breakdown of the App Store's origin, the 2011 policy changes for in-app purchases, and tiered revenue splits. Tony asks clarifying questions and summarizes without challenging the host.3:41–8:59 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 Edge Cases, Margin Clashes, and Opaque Developer Policies Benedict walks through several detailed industry edge cases including Bloomberg, Spotify margin structures, Basecamp's Hey app, and WordPress. Tony participates collaboratively by highlighting the lack of developer appeals.9:00–13:56 · The hosts pushing back 3/10 The Closed vs. Open Debate: Security and User Protection Benedict dismantles the naive anti-sandbox perspective, contrasting user safety against developer freedom and explaining technical issues like sideloading and background execution. Tony prompts the discussion by asking about ethical trade-offs between open and closed systems.13:56–20:14 · The hosts pushing back 3/10 Market Dominance, Epic's Lawsuit, and Regulatory Dilemmas Benedict explains antitrust legal thresholds tied to Apple's dominant market share and exposes flaws in flat download fee proposals. Tony introduces an effective analogy regarding European consumer protection standards.20:14–23:21 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 Privacy as Platform Power: IDFA, Cookies, and Advertising Benedict outlines the technical and economic implications of IDFA removal and SKAdNetwork on ad ecosystems, highlighting how privacy framing is leveraged as platform power. Tony serves as an engaged sounding board.23:21–28:16 · The hosts pushing back 2/10 Platform Governance, the Digital Markets Act, and Unintended Consequences Benedict evaluates the EU's Digital Markets Act and warns against ill-fitting regulatory micromanagement of product architectures. Tony prompts the analysis by questioning the systemic scope across big tech.28:16–29:48 · The hosts pushing back 1/10 Impacts on Innovation and Tech as a Regulated Utility Benedict synthesizes the thesis that tech platforms are evolving into regulated utilities akin to the food supply chain. Tony concurs and concludes the episode seamlessly.

speaking balance: gold is the hosts, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · the hosts 76% · guest 24%0:00 · the hosts 76% · guest 24%3:00 · the hosts 95.7% · guest 4.3%3:00 · the hosts 95.7% · guest 4.3%6:00 · the hosts 97.5% · guest 2.5%6:00 · the hosts 97.5% · guest 2.5%9:00 · the hosts 83.4% · guest 16.6%9:00 · the hosts 83.4% · guest 16.6%12:00 · the hosts 87.1% · guest 12.9%12:00 · the hosts 87.1% · guest 12.9%15:00 · the hosts 68.3% · guest 31.7%15:00 · the hosts 68.3% · guest 31.7%18:00 · the hosts 88.1% · guest 11.9%18:00 · the hosts 88.1% · guest 11.9%21:00 · the hosts 90.1% · guest 9.9%21:00 · the hosts 90.1% · guest 9.9%24:00 · the hosts 95.9% · guest 4.1%24:00 · the hosts 95.9% · guest 4.1%27:00 · the hosts 82.5% · guest 17.5%27:00 · the hosts 82.5% · guest 17.5%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 9:00 Tony pushes on open vs closed system ethics

Tony presses Benedict on what ethical rationale justifies Apple's closed system and what happens if forced open, challenging the simplistic security defense.

Hardest push from the hosts ▶ 15:10 Benedict dismisses the unrestrained open-access argument

Benedict strongly pushes back against Epic's stance of turning off the sandbox entirely, calling out the catastrophic security implications.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 16:50 Tony's European food safety regulation analogy

Tony reframes consumer expectations of technical safety versus open freedom using European versus American food regulation standards.

The host holds their own ▶ 14:05 Benedict articulates antitrust legal market share tests

Benedict demonstrates his domain mastery by explaining why Apple's platform ownership no longer grants immunity once market penetration crosses dominant thresholds.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicThe hosts as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementThe hosts pushing backWhy
Origins of the App Store and the 30 Percent Fee 8012 Benedict provides a detailed historical breakdown of the App Store's origin, the 2011 policy changes for in-app purchases, and tiered revenue splits. Tony asks clarifying questions and summarizes without challenging the host.
Edge Cases, Margin Clashes, and Opaque Developer Policies 9112 Benedict walks through several detailed industry edge cases including Bloomberg, Spotify margin structures, Basecamp's Hey app, and WordPress. Tony participates collaboratively by highlighting the lack of developer appeals.
The Closed vs. Open Debate: Security and User Protection 8123 Benedict dismantles the naive anti-sandbox perspective, contrasting user safety against developer freedom and explaining technical issues like sideloading and background execution. Tony prompts the discussion by asking about ethical trade-offs between open and closed systems.
Market Dominance, Epic's Lawsuit, and Regulatory Dilemmas 9223 Benedict explains antitrust legal thresholds tied to Apple's dominant market share and exposes flaws in flat download fee proposals. Tony introduces an effective analogy regarding European consumer protection standards.
Privacy as Platform Power: IDFA, Cookies, and Advertising 8112 Benedict outlines the technical and economic implications of IDFA removal and SKAdNetwork on ad ecosystems, highlighting how privacy framing is leveraged as platform power. Tony serves as an engaged sounding board.
Platform Governance, the Digital Markets Act, and Unintended Consequences 8112 Benedict evaluates the EU's Digital Markets Act and warns against ill-fitting regulatory micromanagement of product architectures. Tony prompts the analysis by questioning the systemic scope across big tech.
Impacts on Innovation and Tech as a Regulated Utility 7111 Benedict synthesizes the thesis that tech platforms are evolving into regulated utilities akin to the food supply chain. Tony concurs and concludes the episode seamlessly.

Statements from this episode (12)

Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple's 15% fee tier covers 90% of developers, 10% of revenue
“A couple of months ago, they said, okay, if you're doing less than I think a million dollars a year, then it's only 15%. And of course that's a tiny portion of their revenue, but that's like 90% of the developers and 10% of their revenue.”
Benedict Evans Mar 7, 2021 ▶ 2:07
Assertion Supported
Evans: Spotify's fixed record label payouts leave no margin for Apple's fee
“This has become particularly an issue for Spotify because Spotify has this structure of their agreements with the record labels. So they're giving the record labels a fixed percentage of the consumer spend. So they can't give Apple 30% because they don't have …”
Benedict Evans Mar 7, 2021 ▶ 5:13
Assertion Supported
Evans: Apple rules force Google Chrome on iOS to use WebKit engine
“Chrome on iOS has to use Apple's rendering engine. It can't use their own rendering engine.”
Benedict Evans Mar 7, 2021 ▶ 6:32
Opinion
Evans: Eliminating mobile app sandboxing and curated stores would be a catastrophe
“I actually have absolutely no interest in debating the idea that a sandbox and an app store in principle is a good idea and that getting rid of it would be a catastrophe.”
Benedict Evans Mar 7, 2021 ▶ 10:46
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Epic discovered sideloading is a geek activity, unviable for mainstream consumers
“Sideloading is a geek. Activity. So that doesn't, if you're worried, if you actually want to reach consumers, side loading isn't an option. This is what Epic discovered.”
Benedict Evans Mar 7, 2021 ▶ 11:41
Assertion Supported
Evans: Google has systematically made Android more restricted over time for security
“Google has pulled much more towards as a more secure model because they started very open and realized all of these problems. And so Google has been sort of systemically making Android more secure over time and more locked out over time.”
Benedict Evans Mar 7, 2021 ▶ 12:15
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Apple's market share legally constrains its freedom to impose platform rules
“On any of these sorts of legal tests, Apple has sufficiently large market share that they are no longer completely free to do whatever they want. And you can think that that shouldn't be the case, but that is the case. You know, that's, that is where the law i…”
Benedict Evans Mar 7, 2021 ▶ 14:30
Insight
Evans: Enforcing platform competition inherently conflicts with protecting consumer privacy and security
“Competition conflicts, almost everything that we want to do here. Competition conflicts with privacy conflicts with everything else. You pick one.”
Benedict Evans Mar 7, 2021 ▶ 19:56
Prediction Held up
Evans predicts antitrust concerns will force Apple to open iOS NFC access
“Well, I think it's pretty likely that Apple will have to open up NFC access, for example. Because that's a payment monopoly thing.”
Benedict Evans Mar 7, 2021 ▶ 21:03
Assertion Supported
Evans: Google acquired Android over ten years ago to block Microsoft dominance
“This is why Google created Android, because they were afraid of Microsoft doing this. You know, they bought Android and created Android, and this was over 10 years ago.”
Benedict Evans Mar 7, 2021 ▶ 24:04
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Evans: Game streaming is the first major consumer product Apple has blocked
“Now we have this very specific set of things around streaming games, but now you actually have like a, for the first time, like a real big tangible product that people would like to buy that Apple's blocking”
Benedict Evans Mar 7, 2021 ▶ 28:53
Insight
Evans: The technology industry is becoming regulated like the food supply chain
“Part of like my general thesis for all of this stuff is like tech is becoming a regulated industry. You're getting it regulated the way the food supply chain is regulated.”
Benedict Evans Mar 7, 2021 ▶ 29:34
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