why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cohen: Tech companies will need fewer specialized roles than before
“I think there are system builders that empower full stack builders and then you have people who are specialized, but I don't think we need as many specialized people as we did in the past.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Cohen: 70% of job skill requirements will change by 2030
“When we look at, like, the skills required to do your job, By 2030, which is literally four years from now, sounds a long time, but 40 years, four years from now, it will change by 70%.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cohen: AI Design Tools Will Not Be a Winner-Take-All Market
“What you'll see that ultimately, I don't think there's going to be a winner takes all because the starting point of You know, the customer or the user will dictate a lot how simple they are for that use case.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cohen: AI will become so intimate that users experience separation anxiety
“Yeah, I think we all, I think we're in for AI of, AI-nophobia at that point, where you're gonna get to a point where AI is gonna feel so intimate, so personal, that it would actually feel concerning to you to be away from it.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cohen: Small, cross-trained mission pods will win future organizational races
“And an analogy I have in mind is kind of Navy SEALs. You know, you come to training, you, they're all kind of learning. They're cross trained across multiple areas. What they specialize in is the mission. And they operate in small pods and they're very nimble …”