why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
HubSpot saw 100% attrition on hires from Google, Microsoft, and Salesforce
“Like we hired so many people from Salesforce and Google, Microsoft, like a hundred percent, you know, attrition rate on all those folks.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Halligan: Enterprise sales will be among the last white-collar jobs AI replaces
“But I think ye olde enterprise sales, where there's actual trust built up between two carbon based life forms, I think will be very, very, very late to go in the white collar world.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Every knowledge worker and website will have an AI avatar by 2031
“I think every knowledge worker will have one of these in three, four or five years, but mine was more on the go to market side where I think every website will change and there'll be a, an all knowing avatar on that homepage.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Halligan: Private valuations will retrench and drive widespread tech layoffs
“I think within the next couple years,
There'll be a real retrenchment in valuations in some will live up to valuations a lot.
And like, if I look at the public markets, they're very tight right now.
It's like the anti bubble.
I look at private valuations.
It's…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Virtually zero founder-CEOs Brian Halligan coaches maintain a work-life balance
“I don't know any of the founders I work with that have work-life balance. By the way, this is not something I recommend. I didn't have it. I don't think my co-founder Dharmesh had it. None of the CEO, the only CEO I know And he's unusual in this way is Kareem …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Halligan: A narrow trust surface is a scaling limit for every CEO he coaches
“Every one of the CEOs I work with has the same problem, and that's a scaling limit. That was the limit for me. I wasn't trusting enough.”
Assertion Contradicted
MongoDB averaged two executive departures per year under CEO Dev Ittycheria
“On average, over his, like, ten-year lifespan as the CEO of Mongo, there were two C-level, two C-levels turned over per year.”
Assertion Supported
A 2019 HubSpot outage caused mass cancellations and brought Halligan to tears
“I remember in 2000, it was the end, it was the last day of March in 2019 and we had a really bad outage like all day and we never really had one of those and It was bad. Customers were unhappy. A lot of customers canceled. I had a lot of customers yelling at m…”
Assertion Supported
Halligan: HubSpot pivoted into CRM after Salesforce entered marketing software
“We started as a marketing software company and we pivoted, we had Salesforce kind of came into our market and we pivoted into CRM.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
HubSpot co-founder Dharmesh Shah has never had a single direct report
“Dermesh Shah has never had a single direct report at HubSpot.”