why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Godin: Traditional truck buyers will not adopt the Tesla Cybertruck
“So now, if you bring people in that category who are inherently skeptical of change, and inherently skeptical of design trickery, something that is nothing but change and design trickery, No, they're not going to adopt it. You could have sold an enormous numbe…”
Assertion Partly supported
Shrivastava: Waymo engineered for full autonomy from inception, unlike Tesla
“Since you mentioned Tesla, you know, I just want to clarify that it's a different system that we're building, right? Which is for Waymo, we started by solving the problem of fully autonomous driving without a human driver at the wheel from the get-go, right? I…”
Opinion
Tesla's FSD is a masterclass in human-in-the-loop AI agent design
“I find the Tesla software, like, quite inspiring. In particular, it has, like, the self-driving feature, and, you know, I, I've mentioned a few times, like, today, like, I think it's really interesting to think about how to build, like, mixed initiative softwa…”
Opinion
Martin: Tesla gained a 10-year lead because legacy OEMs couldn't monetize EVs
“Tesla got a 10 year head start. Not because the OEMs couldn't. They could have. And of course GM did many, many years ago, right? Great fully functioning electric vehicle, but they couldn't figure out how the hell you make, make a buck on it. And so they didn'…”
Opinion
Sutherland: Tesla's choice architecture provides the ideal amount of options
“I think Tesla's quite clever in the choice architecture of Tesla's is just the right amount of choice.”
Insight
Maples: Breakthrough startup movements appeal to higher purpose over comparisons
“The great movements do appeal to a higher purpose. They don't say I'm better. I'm better than company X. You know, I'm Avis. I try harder than her. They appeal to a more aesthetically higher purpose future. And then they show that this startup is the vehicle f…”