The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Ambrosino: OpenAI Codex would have failed if released three months earlier
“I like, I am very confident that the codex app that we released in February, if that had been ready. In November, it would have absolutely failed in the market. And the only difference was the models between November and February.”
Badam: Relying entirely on fixed evals without team testing fails
“I don't think like if anybody's coming and seeing that, like my, I have this Concrete set of evals that I can, like, bet my life on, and then I don't need to think about anything else. Like, it's not going to work, and every new model that we're going to launc…”
Badam: Coding agents cannot rely solely on offline evaluation datasets
“Coding agents are extremely unique compared to agents for other domains in the sense that These are actually built for customizability and these are built for engineers. So coding agent is not a product which is going to solve like this top five workflows or l…”