The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Pincus: Zero of 40,000 new App Store games sustained top 50 ranks
“You know, there was something like 40,000 new games launched last year in the app store and zero, you know, became top 10 hits and zero even sustained top 25 or 50.”
Mark Pincus Jun 14, 2026 ▶ 1:04:16 The hidden pattern behind successful products | Mark Pincus (FarmVille, Words with Friends, & more)
Assertion Supported
Bier: Hitting #1 in US App Store can now require 300K daily installs
“It used to be, like, a 100,080 to a 100,000 installs but now you have these companies that are just spending extraordinary amounts on ads and, or injecting it into one of their other apps. So between Threads, Timu, and all these other apps that are kind of spe…”
Nikita Bier Aug 25, 2024 ▶ 24:17 How to consistently go viral: Nikita Bier’s playbook for winning at consumer apps
Assertion Supported
Rachitsky: Google Gemini reached number one on the App Store above ChatGPT
“So just last week, Gemini, Google Gemini hit the number one app in the App Store. I have it right here. It's still number one in the App Store. It's above ChatGPT.”
Lenny Rachitsky Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 4:58 Inside Google's AI turnaround: AI Mode, AI Overviews, and vision for AI-powered search | Robby Stein
Assertion Supported
Steve Jobs personally called developers to explain early App Store rejections
“So the executive team at Apple, including Steve were actually calling developers to inform them that their apps were not going to be approved, that they were taken off the off the app store kind of like trying to avoid them going to the press and just like bei…”
Sebastian Barrios Jun 8, 2025 ▶ 46:21 Mercado Libre: 18k engineers, 30k deploys a day, & their own fleet of planes | Sebastian Barrios
Assertion Partly supported
Bier: Sarahah reached number one in US App Store despite being in Arabic
“I looked on the app store and the number one app In the United States was an app called Saraha. And it was for sending anonymous messages by adding a link to your Snapchat story. But the thing that was most interesting was the entire app was in Arabic. The num…”
Nikita Bier Aug 25, 2024 ▶ 26:02 How to consistently go viral: Nikita Bier’s playbook for winning at consumer apps
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 300 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.