The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 1,245 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 39 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Senra: Napoleon fought more battles than Alexander, Hannibal, and Caesar combined
“Napoleon fought more battles than Alexander, Hannibal, and Julius Caesar combined.”
David Senra Apr 24, 2024 ▶ 0:00 Napoleon's Maxims and Strategy
Assertion Partly supported
Brad Jacobs built five startups and two spinoffs into billion-dollar enterprises
“I've started five companies from scratch, seven if you include two spinoffs, and turned them all into billion dollar or multi-billion dollar enterprises.”
David Senra Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 0:36 How To Make A Few Billion Dollars by Brad Jacobs
Assertion Supported
Brad Jacobs completed 500 acquisitions and raised $30 billion in outside capital
“My teams and I have completed approximately 500 acquisitions. In total, these ventures have created hundreds of thousands of jobs and raised about thirty billion dollars in outside capital.”
David Senra Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 0:47 How To Make A Few Billion Dollars by Brad Jacobs
Assertion Supported
XPO Logistics was the seventh best-performing Fortune 500 stock last decade
“XPO was the seventh best performing stock in the Fortune 500 of the last decade.”
David Senra Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 3:13 How To Make A Few Billion Dollars by Brad Jacobs
Assertion Supported
Brad Jacobs generated a $4B profit on an unprecedented stock buyback
“A couple of years later, those two billion dollars of shares we brought back, we bought back, ended up being worth six billion dollars, giving them a profit on that one transaction of four billion dollars.”
David Senra Apr 22, 2024 ▶ 26:42 How To Make A Few Billion Dollars by Brad Jacobs
Assertion Supported
Red Bull Allowed Product Rumors to Spread and Made a Webpage for Them
“The company let the gossip travel unchecked and even set up a page devoted to the rumors on its website.”
David Senra Apr 20, 2024 ▶ 7:11 Red Bull's Billionaire Maniac Founder: Dietrich Mateschitz
Assertion Supported
Mateschitz bought an Austrian gossip magazine specifically to keep himself out
“And there's a society magazine. So like, you know, I don't, I guess we'd call it like kind of like a tabloid or like a gossip magazine in the States, but he actually buys it. He buys this magazine just so he will not appear in it.”
David Senra Apr 20, 2024 ▶ 17:24 Red Bull's Billionaire Maniac Founder: Dietrich Mateschitz
Assertion Supported
Red Bull achieved breakeven in year three and stayed profitable ever since
“They get their breakeven point in year three, and they've been profitable every single year since then.”
David Senra Apr 20, 2024 ▶ 25:58 Red Bull's Billionaire Maniac Founder: Dietrich Mateschitz
Assertion Supported
Mateschitz categorically ruled out an IPO or sale of Red Bull
“One thing he's categorically ruled out again and again, exiting the company in the form of selling his shares. I hardly even allow this question. He said, we could have done it a dozen times already. Our view on this has not changed. We neither have the desire…”
David Senra Apr 20, 2024 ▶ 55:03 Red Bull's Billionaire Maniac Founder: Dietrich Mateschitz
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jesus's Beatitudes had no equivalent in ancient pious wisdom literature
“This was tough teaching, hard to follow, and entirely new. It had no equivalent in the Old Testament or any of the pious wisdom literature of the ancient Near East, and Jesus followed it with still more difficult maxims.”
David Senra Apr 19, 2024 ▶ 16:53 The Life Story of Jesus
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Christian Dior's Debut Was the Most Successful Launch in Fashion History
“His first collection turned out to be the most successful in fashion history.”
David Senra Apr 18, 2024 ▶ 5:32 The Autobiography of Christian Dior
Assertion Supported
Christian Dior Spent Zero Money on Publicity for His Debut Launch
“It is widely and quite erroneously believed that when the house of Christian Dior was launched, enormous sums were spent on publicity. On the contrary, not a single penny was allotted to it.”
David Senra Apr 18, 2024 ▶ 22:36 The Autobiography of Christian Dior
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Albert Lasker Earned More Than Any Other Ad Agency Founder in History
“He made more money in his advertising agency than any other advertising agency founder ever did.”
David Senra Apr 18, 2024 ▶ 27:34 The Autobiography of Christian Dior
Assertion Supported
Elon Musk Used Larry Page to Relocate a Recruit's Wife to LA
“To solve this problem, Musk had called his friend Larry Page, the co-founder of Google. The engineer sat in stunned silence for a moment, but then he replied, given all that, he would come to work at SpaceX.”
David Senra Apr 18, 2024 ▶ 50:46 The Autobiography of Christian Dior
Assertion Supported
Les Schwab Promoted All 250 Managers Internally From Tire-Changing Roles
“In our 34 years of business, we have never hired a manager from the outside. Every single one of our more than 250 managers and assistant managers started at the bottom changing tires. They have all earned their management job by working up.”
David Senra Apr 18, 2024 ▶ 51:45 The Autobiography of Christian Dior
Assertion Contradicted
Japanese tire manufacturers captured nearly the entire market within two decades
“The Japanese go from, like, zero percent market share, and I think within, like, a decade, maybe even less than two decades, they essentially own the entire market.”
David Senra Apr 17, 2024 ▶ 16:20 Les Schwab (Charlie Munger recommended this book)
Assertion Partly supported
Les Schwab created the very first showroom in the retail tire industry
“And so he, this is, he creates the very first tire showroom.”
David Senra Apr 17, 2024 ▶ 32:49 Les Schwab (Charlie Munger recommended this book)
Assertion Partly supported
In 1966, Les Schwab pioneered the independent multi-brand retail tire model
“In 1966, I made a big decision. I decided to go straight independent to buy tires like safe way buys groceries to buy the best possible tire, good quality and at the lowest possible price. This was a major move at that time and no one had tried it before.”
David Senra Apr 17, 2024 ▶ 39:27 Les Schwab (Charlie Munger recommended this book)
Assertion Contradicted
Paul Graham cites co-founder conflict as the top cause of startup breakups
“I think Paul Graham said the number one breakup of, in Y Combinator is not like external factors. It's actually co-founder conflict.”
David Senra Apr 17, 2024 ▶ 44:59 Les Schwab (Charlie Munger recommended this book)
Assertion Supported
Les Schwab rejected acquisition offers from Warren Buffett, Michelin, and KKR
“He wind up turning down Buffett earlier in his career. He winds up turning down Michelin tire. They wanted to buy the company and turns out KKR tried to buy the company as well.”
David Senra Apr 17, 2024 ▶ 58:54 Les Schwab (Charlie Munger recommended this book)
Assertion Supported
Elon Musk personally interviewed SpaceX's first 3,000 employees
“He interviewed the first 3000 employees at SpaceX. That's how important it was.”
David Senra Apr 17, 2024 ▶ 1:32:25 Les Schwab (Charlie Munger recommended this book)
Assertion Supported
C.F. Braun fired employees who failed twice to explain 'why'
“His rule for all Braun company communications was called the five W's. You had to tell who, what was going to do what, where, when, and why. And if you wrote a letter in the Braun company telling somebody to do something and you didn't tell him why, you would …”
David Senra Apr 16, 2024 ▶ 41:31 Charlie Munger (the NEW Poor Charlie's Almanack)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Senra: Berkshire Hathaway's wealth was driven by just 10 insights
“If you look at Berkshire Hathaway and all of its accumulated billions, the top 10 insights account for most of it. Most of the money came from 10 insights.”
David Senra Apr 16, 2024 ▶ 59:13 Charlie Munger (the NEW Poor Charlie's Almanack)
Assertion Supported
Oracle recruited college grads by asking if they were the smartest person they knew
“Ellison insisted that his recruiters hire only the finest and cockiest new college graduates. When they were recruiting from universities, they'd ask people, are you the smartest person you know? And if they said yes, they would hire them. If they said no, the…”
David Senra Apr 16, 2024 ▶ 1:42:38 Charlie Munger (the NEW Poor Charlie's Almanack)
Assertion Supported
Capital Cities' $3.5B ABC Buyout Was History's Largest Non-Energy Deal
“So he buys ABC network for nearly 3.5 billion dollars with financing from his friend, Warren Buffett. The ABC deal was the largest non oil and gas transaction in business history to that point.”
David Senra Apr 15, 2024 ▶ 17:48 Tom Murphy (Warren Buffett's Favorite Manager)
Assertion Supported
Dan Burke Cut ABC's TV Oversight Staff From 60 To Eight
“Under Burke's oversight, the staff that oversaw ABC's TV station group dropped from 60 to eight people. The margin gap was closed in just two years. So in two years, they brought ABC's margins from 30% to over 50.”
David Senra Apr 15, 2024 ▶ 18:44 Tom Murphy (Warren Buffett's Favorite Manager)
Assertion Supported
Capital Cities Stock Returned 204x Under Tom Murphy's 29-Year Tenure
“Well, if you had invested a dollar with Tom Murphy as he became CEO in 1966, that dollar would have been worth 204 dollars by the time he sold the company to Disney.”
David Senra Apr 15, 2024 ▶ 20:18 Tom Murphy (Warren Buffett's Favorite Manager)
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Apr 2024
Capital Cities Operated Without HR, Marketing, PR, or Legal Departments
“Headquarters staff was anorexic. No vice presidents in functional areas like marketing, strategic planning, or human resources, no corporate counsel, and no public relations department either.”
David Senra Apr 15, 2024 ▶ 21:46 Tom Murphy (Warren Buffett's Favorite Manager)
Assertion Partly supported
Capital Cities Put Bob Iger in Charge of ABC Entertainment at 37
“They hired Bob Iger at 37, and before that, he had spent his entire career in broadcast sports, and they hired him to assume responsibility for ABC Entertainment.”
David Senra Apr 15, 2024 ▶ 28:01 Tom Murphy (Warren Buffett's Favorite Manager)
Assertion Supported
Capital Cities Generated 22.4% Returns Over 19 Years On $1.8B In Buybacks
“He spent over 1.8 billion On share buybacks. That investment alone generated a excellent return for shareholders. 22.4% over 19 years.”
David Senra Apr 15, 2024 ▶ 31:34 Tom Murphy (Warren Buffett's Favorite Manager)
Assertion Supported
Ted Turner lost $8 billion in 30 months after the AOL merger
“He's going to sell the company to Time Warner for eight billion dollars. And then a few years later, Time Warner is going to merge with AOL. Ted Turner stock goes up to a value of ten billion dollars, and then he winds up losing over the next 30 months, eight …”
David Senra Apr 14, 2024 ▶ 4:55 The Autobiography of Ted Turner
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Only two of 35 employees remained one year after Turner acquired WTCG
“Of the 35 people who were on the payroll when we took over, only two were still there a year later. The custodian and the receptionist.”
David Senra Apr 14, 2024 ▶ 20:52 The Autobiography of Ted Turner
Assertion Supported
Turner bought the Atlanta Braves for $10M with $1M down
“And so they're like, okay, we want a ten million dollars for the team. Could you imagine buying a professional sports team for ten million dollars, by the way? And so he, this is where he has to get creative. He's like, okay, I can give you a million dollars d…”
David Senra Apr 14, 2024 ▶ 26:00 The Autobiography of Ted Turner
Assertion Supported
Turner found colorized classic films drew six times more television viewers
“I could run the black and white version of that movie. And then I can invest 200,000. Then now, now I have the color version and I'd run that exact same movie. One is a black and white. One is in color. The color one would get six times the amount of viewers.”
David Senra Apr 14, 2024 ▶ 38:22 The Autobiography of Ted Turner
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Anna Wintour strictly limits her professional meetings to two minutes maximum
“I found Anna to be hyper-competent and ruthlessly efficient, so her meetings were So Lieberman's meetings, right, he likes to keep them very, very short, you know, five minutes at most. Her meetings are two minutes long. The first 60 seconds are guaranteed. Th…”
David Senra Apr 13, 2024 ▶ 10:21 The Biography of Anna Wintour
Assertion Supported
Vogue sells $100,000 annual club memberships purely for access to Anna Wintour
“Vogue actually sells something called the Vogue 100. It is a private club whose members pay a 100,000 dollars a year just for access to Anna.”
David Senra Apr 13, 2024 ▶ 12:57 The Biography of Anna Wintour
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Vogue staff would literally flee elevators to avoid riding with Anna Wintour
“There's a ton of these stories where if you see Anna in an elevator, people will literally run out of the elevator so they don't have to ride up with her.”
David Senra Apr 13, 2024 ▶ 15:07 The Biography of Anna Wintour
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fashion designers will entirely redesign collections based on Anna Wintour's negative feedback
“Literally like fashion designers will change their entire line. If they get a negative feedback or if Anna doesn't buy in.”
David Senra Apr 13, 2024 ▶ 47:23 The Biography of Anna Wintour
Assertion Supported
Anna Wintour routinely scrapped six-figure photo shoots to enforce ruthless quality standards
“Photo shoots could cost six figures, and Anna did not feel that she had to publish the result just because they were expensive. She killed entire shoots to drive home the understanding that editors and photographers who wanted to have their work in her magazin…”
David Senra Apr 13, 2024 ▶ 48:04 The Biography of Anna Wintour
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gagosian generates over $1 billion annually across 19 wholly owned galleries
“With 19 galleries that bear his name, from New York to London to Athens to Hong Kong, generating more than a billion dollars in annual revenue, Gagosian may well be the biggest art dealer in the history of the world. The business, which he owns without a partn…”
David Senra Apr 12, 2024 ▶ 0:29 Billionaire Art Dealer Larry Gagosian
Assertion Supported
Fewer Than 20 Musicians Built Billion-Dollar Businesses Exceeding Their Catalogs
“How many of them built businesses bigger than their music? You're talking to what, 10, 15, 20, the number's less than 20. And Buffett is one of them.”
David Senra Apr 10, 2024 ▶ 12:26 The Biography of Jimmy Buffett
Assertion Partly supported
Jimmy Buffett's Margaritaville Empire Generated $2.2 Billion in 2022 Sales
“They did 2.2 billion dollars in sales in 2022. That doesn't include hundreds of other licensing agreements. It doesn't include his four hundred million dollar alcohol business.”
David Senra Apr 10, 2024 ▶ 19:32 The Biography of Jimmy Buffett
Assertion Supported
Bezos Conceptualized the Amazon Echo in 2004 as the 'Amazon Puck'
“Jeff wrote his own narrative about a device. He called the Amazon puck when I'm about to, this is crazy. When I'm about to read to you, he wrote in 2004. He is going to describe the Amazon echo, which is going to sell hundreds of millions of these things. The …”
David Senra Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 24:33 Working with Jeff Bezos
Assertion Supported
Early AWS PR/FAQ Aimed to Give Dorm Students Amazon-Grade Infrastructure
“Working backwards documents for the early AWS products, the PRFAQ stated that we wanted the student in a dorm room to have access to the same world-class computing infrastructure as any Amazon software engineer.”
David Senra Apr 8, 2024 ▶ 55:47 Working with Jeff Bezos
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Senra: How Founder Role Models Shifted From Napoleon to Churchill Post-WWII
“So if you're studying the history of history's greatest founders before World War II, they all say the same thing. They're motivated and inspired by Napoleon. After World War II, Napoleon is still there, but then they bring up Churchill a lot.”
David Senra Apr 6, 2024 ▶ 10:37 The Making of Winston Churchill Part 1
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Older POWs survived the Burma Railway at higher rates than younger men
“The younger, like the 19 year olds, the 20 year olds died at a faster rate than like the 30 and 40 year olds because the 30 and 40 year olds had something to live for. A lot of the men were married and would talk about their families back home. These slightly …”
David Senra Apr 5, 2024 ▶ 23:47 Listen to this when you’re stressed: The Life of Alistair Urquhart
Assertion Supported
Senra: Microsoft offered $90 million to buy Pixar
“So they get an offer from, Microsoft's just one of these companies. Steve's like, hey, I want a hundred twenty million for Pixar. And, you know, he just made up the number, and Microsoft will give you ninety million.”
David Senra Apr 4, 2024 ▶ 28:54 Ed Catmull (Founder of Pixar)
Assertion Supported
Steve Jobs Stayed Out of Story Decisions at Pixar
“At Apple, he had the reputation of being deeply involved in the most minute details of every product, but at Pixar, he didn't believe that his instincts were better than the people here, so he stayed out.”
David Senra Apr 4, 2024 ▶ 43:18 Ed Catmull (Founder of Pixar)
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