why aren't all 2,397 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 42 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Jensen Huang: Long Working Hours Are a Prerequisite for Excellence
“People who train for the Olympics grumble about training early in the morning too. Jensen was sending a message. Long hours were a necessary prerequisite for excellence.”
Insight
Jensen Huang: Strategy Is Continuous Action Rather Than Five-Year Plans
“Strategy is not words. Strategy is action, Jensen said. We don't do periodic planning. The reason for that is because the world is a living, breathing thing. We just plan continuously. There is no five-year plan.”
Insight
Getting the macro trend right allows room for operational mistakes
“You can mess up a lot of things in business and still do well as long as you get the big trend right.”
Insight
Mature Sectors Do Not Exist, Only Managers Who Resist Innovation
“There are no mature sectors where everything is already discovered, but rather companies are managers with closed minds who resist innovation.”
Insight
Marc Andreessen: High-potential first-timers consistently outperform uninspired industry veterans
“There's a great quote by Mark Andreessen, where Mark says, I'm a firm believer that most people who do great things are doing them for the first time. I'd rather have someone all fired up to do something for the first time than someone who's done it before. An…”
Insight
Musk: Unifying engineering and finance decisions in one person maximizes speed
“I make the spending decisions and the engineering decisions in one head. Normally those are at least two people. There's some engineering guy who's trying to convince a finance guy that this money should be spent, but the finance guy doesn't understand enginee…”
Insight
Sam Zell Refused to Hire or Partner With Anyone Lacking Fear
“I don't do business with anyone who's not afraid, and I won't hire anybody who is confident to the point where fear is not very close to the surface.”
Insight
Jay Pritzker: Complex deals depend entirely on a single critical step
“He always said that if there were 12 steps in a deal, the whole thing depended on just one of them. The others would either work themselves out or were less important.”
Disclosure
MrBeast Abandons Multimillion-Dollar Videos That Miss His Quality Standards
“I have zero issues throwing away a multimillion dollar video. If I don't think it's up to my standards”
Insight
The best investors are entrepreneurs who never sell their equity
“He says, the best investors aren't investors at all. They're entrepreneurs who never sold.”
Insight
Selling 10x winners costs investors more than holding stocks into bankruptcy
“He says the biggest mistake an investor can make is to sell a stock that goes on to rise tenfold, not from owning something into bankruptcy, but that's what everyone thinks.”
Insight
Li Lu hired staff without business school backgrounds to make training easier
“This is why all my employees I had never went to business school. They never worked in an established management firm, and some of them never even had accounting. Because I find it's easier to train them than somebody who did.”
Insight
Levchin: The first B-player hired brings the whole company down
“A's hire A's, B's hire C's, so the first B you hire takes the whole company down.”
Insight
Ogilvy: A CEO's chief duty is enabling eccentric creative mavericks
“I have come to the conclusion that the top man has one principal responsibility. To provide an atmosphere in which creative mavericks can do useful work. To be successful, you must, out of necessity, accumulate a group of creative people. This probably means a…”
Insight
Leaders earn the right to demand high standards by enduring them first
“I pulled people along when they didn't want to be pulled. I challenged people when they didn't want to be challenged and I earned the right because my teammates who came after me didn't endure all the things that I endured. Once you joined the team, you lived …”
Assertion Supported
Kobe Bryant vowed his post-basketball career must surpass his NBA achievements
“Kobe mentions this in that interview with Alex Rodriguez, where he says, you know, when he tells people that if the next 20 years of his life isn't better and he doesn't achieve more than the last 20 years, he would consider that a failure.”
Insight
Joseph Duveen: Paying high for the priceless is actually getting it cheap.
“When you pay high for the priceless, you're getting it cheap.”
Assertion Supported
Duveen engineered the National Gallery to inflate prices and clear wall space.
“By getting Andrew Mellon to donate his collection to it, the National Gallery was the perfect front for Duveen. In one gesture, his clients avoided taxes, cleared wall space for new purchases, and reduced the numbers of paintings on the market, maintaining the…”
Insight
Great Founders Buy Once-in-a-Lifetime Assets Even When They Lack Capital
“There are times when certain cards sit unclaimed in the common pile, when certain properties become available that will never be available again. A good businessman feels these moments like a fall in the barometric pressure. A great businessman is dumb enough …”
Insight
Mateschitz: Red Bull is an efficiency product where taste is irrelevant
“It's not just another flavored sugar water differentiated by color or taste or flavor. It is an efficiency product. I'm talking about improving endurance, concentration, reaction time, speed, vigilance, and emotional status. Taste is of no importance whatsoeve…”
Insight
The hardest hurdle for an inventor is indifference, not active opposition
“The test of invention is the power of an inventor to push your invention through, not in the face of staunch opposition, which most people think, right? But staunch indifference.”
Assertion Partly supported
Mateschitz threatened to break the kneecaps of an unauthorized biographer
“There was another potential biographer, this Russian author that tried to start writing a biography, an unauthorized biography on Madraschitz and Madraschitz threatened to have his kneecaps broken.”
Insight
Sam Walton won retail by fanatically copying competitors' smart ideas
“Sam Walton invented practically nothing, but he copied everything anybody ever did that was smart, and he did it with more fanaticism, so he blew right by them all.”
Insight
Levchin: The first B player hired brings down the whole company
“A players hire A players, B players hire C players, so the first B player you hire takes the whole company down.”
Insight
Max Levchin: The first B-player hired degrades the company's entire talent standard
“A players hire A players, B players hire C players. So the first B player you hire takes the whole company down.”
Assertion Contradicted
Psychiatrist David Shaffer claims his ex-wife Anna Wintour is incapable of empathy
“Her ex-husband, whose name's David Schaefer, he's the psychiatrist. He's been on record. He says that a lot of people debate, like, does Anna have the ability to empathize with other people? And he says very clearly that Anna is not capable of empathy.”
Insight
Bezos: Most decisions should be made with 70% of desired information
“Most decisions should probably be made with somewhere around 70% of the information you wish you had. If you wait for 90%, he said, in most cases, you're probably being slow. Plus, either way, you need to be good at quickly recognizing and correcting bad decis…”
Insight
Bezos: Narrative Memos Force Better Thinking Than PowerPoint Presentations
“The reason writing a four page memo is harder than writing a 20 page PowerPoint is because the narrative structure of a good memo forces better thought and better understanding of what's more important than what and how things are related. PowerPoint style pre…”
Insight
Bezos: Read by Assuming Each Sentence Is Wrong Until Proven Otherwise
“He assumes each sentence he reads is wrong until he can prove otherwise. He's challenging the content of the sentence, not the motive of the writer”
Insight
Jobs: Having No Visible Problems Indicates Extreme Operational Risk
“Steve says, if you don't have any problems, you should be very, very worried.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jobs regularly noted Apple products end up in landfills while Pixar films endure
“He used to say regularly that as brilliant as Apple products were, eventually they all ended up in landfills. Pixar movies, on the other hand, would live on forever.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cameron Predicted Avatar Would Make Fox Executives 'All the Fucking Money'
“I said, I think this movie is going to make all the fucking money, and when it does, it's going to be too late for you to love the film.”
Insight
High-agency individuals dictate circumstances rather than letting the world happen to them
“Arnold is a high agency person. The world does not happen to high agency individuals. High agency individuals happen to the world.”
Insight
Ogilvy: Under 1% of ad campaigns contain a big idea
“Unless your campaign contains a big idea, it will pass like a ship in the night. I doubt if more than one campaign in a hundred contains a big idea.”
Insight
Steve Jobs: Top performers refuse to work alongside mediocre talent
“The Macintosh experience taught me that A players like to work only, only with other A players, which means you cannot indulge B players.”
Insight
Ogilvy: Companies must protect disagreeable geniuses from resentful mediocre managers
“My observation has been that mediocre men recognize genius, resent it, and feel compelled to destroy it. There are very few men of genius, but we need all we can find. Almost without exception, they are disagreeable. Do not destroy them. They lay golden eggs.”
Opinion
Senra: Sol Price is the most influential retailer of all time
“I would argue that he's the most influential retailer of all time. If you factor in how many people Are on record saying that they took Sol's ideas and applied it to their own life and work. Jim Senegal of Costco, obviously. Sam Walton of Walmart. Jeff Bezos o…”
Assertion Supported
Earl Woods used military POW psychological techniques on 12-year-old Tiger
“Earl put him through what he called Woods' finishing school. He would use psychological warfare and prisoner of war techniques that he had once taught to soldiers. Earl broke down his son in an attempt to toughen him up.”
Insight
Jobs: I purposely provoke interviewees to see if they will push back
“Many times in a job interview, I will purposely upset someone. I'll criticize their prior work. I'll do my homework, find out what they worked on and say, God, that really turned out to be a bomb. That really turned out to be a bozo product. Why did you work o…”
Insight
Jobs: CEOs must cajole and threaten teams to exceed their perceived limits
“Part of the CEO's job is to cajole and beg and plead and threaten at times to do whatever is necessary to get people to see things in a bigger and more profound way than they have and to do better work than they thought they could do.”
Opinion
Jobs: Apple was worth saving because it was the only Windows alternative
“There is something good here worth saving. I don't quite know how to express it, but it has to do with the fact that Apple is the only alternative to windows and that Apple can still inject some new thinking into the equation.”
Insight
Jobs: Become a manager only to stop bozos from ruining your group
“The only good reason to be a manager is so some other bozo
Doesn't be the manager and ruin the group that you care about.”
What-if
Jobs: Modern computer typography exists because I audited a college calligraphy course
“If I had never dropped in on that single course in college, the Mac would never have had multiple typefaces or proportionally spaced fonts, and since Windows just copied the Mac, it's likely that no personal computer would have them either.”
Opinion
Arnault: Competitors trying to copy LVMH's multi-brand strategy have failed
“I remember people telling me, it doesn't make sense to put together so many brands, and it was a success. It was a recognized success, and for the last 10 years now, every competitor is trying to imitate. I think they are not successful, but they'll try.”
Insight
Arnault: Luxury goods is the only industry that enables luxury profit margins
“My relationship to luxury goods is really very rational. It is the only area in which it is possible to make luxury profit margins.”
Insight
Arnault: Corporate ownership offers lasting power, while politics is ephemeral
“Politics is ephemeral. Companies have a durability which guarantee the only real power worth having.”
Insight
Munger: good ideas are rare, so investors must bet heavily when finding one
“And another thing that he repeats is that you should remember that good ideas are rare, and when you find one, you have to bet heavily.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Munger predicts device-distracted multitaskers will achieve far less success than Buffett
“Look at this generation with all of its electronic devices and multitasking. I will confidently predict less success than Warren, who just focused on reading.”