Oct 15, 2024 · 50m · founders

Nick Sleep's Letters: The Full Collection of the Nomad Investment Partnership Letters

David Senra · 45m spoken
0:00 / 0:00
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gold bands on the timeline = statements, start to end. Hover to read, click to jump. CC turns on captions

David Senra analyzes the complete 110,000-word archive of Nick Sleep's Nomad Investment Partnership letters, detailing the transformative power of Scale Economies Shared, radical portfolio concentration, and ultra-long-term investing.

Statements from this episode (14)

Assertion Supported
Nomad Investment Partnership Made Around $2 Billion for Clients
“Nomad was not a particularly large fund, but over the years, it did make around two billion dollars for its clients, which were predominantly charities and educational endowments.”
David Senra Oct 15, 2024 ▶ 0:44
Insight
Investors Can Only Beat the Market by Looking Further Out
“Only by looking further out than the short-term crowd can we expect to beat them.”
David Senra Oct 15, 2024 ▶ 2:50
Insight
Underperforming conglomerates decline when core profitable units fund weaker new projects
“This often works because there's normally a jewel at the heart of most companies that has often been used to fund new ventures. That jewel has been taken for granted by inpatient management. As the jewel becomes diluted by less successful projects, aggregate p…”
David Senra Oct 15, 2024 ▶ 4:30
Assertion Supported
Coca-Cola shares rose 10x after divesting a shrimp farm in the 1980s
“In the mid-nineteen eighties, because at that time Coca-Cola had become a poorly defined conglomerate, including a shrimp farm, winery, and a film studio. As the poor businesses were cut away to reveal the jewel that is syrup manufacturing and marketing operat…”
David Senra Oct 15, 2024 ▶ 4:46
Insight
Scale economies shared creates a flywheel of growth and pricing advantages
“All the benefits that they get from scale as a company are returned to the customer in form of lower prices, which in turn encourages growth and then extends scale advantages.”
David Senra Oct 15, 2024 ▶ 8:09
Insight
Nick Sleep argues an investor's best insight should dominate their focus
“Nick says, if it's the single best thought you have ever had in your life, it needs to dominate everything because you're not going to get many insights like that. And if it's your single best insight, your single best idea, then obviously it's what you should…”
David Senra Oct 15, 2024 ▶ 12:52
Insight
The Kelly criterion implies 100% portfolio concentration given complete certainty
“The common sense outcome of that equation is that if one is certain of being right, one should invest the entire portfolio in that idea.”
David Senra Oct 15, 2024 ▶ 15:06
Insight
Good capital allocation does not necessarily require a company to grow
“Good capital allocation takes many forms and does not necessarily require a firm to grow.”
David Senra Oct 15, 2024 ▶ 16:26
Assertion Supported
In 2004, Amazon's market cap was $18B while eBay's was $77B
“In the end of 2004, the market cap of Amazon, when Nixleep is discovering this earned secret was nine, was eighteen billion dollars. Eighteen billion. The market cap in that same time for eBay was seventy seven billion.”
David Senra Oct 15, 2024 ▶ 28:12
Insight
The best investors are entrepreneurs who never sell their equity
“He says, the best investors aren't investors at all. They're entrepreneurs who never sold.”
David Senra Oct 15, 2024 ▶ 29:23
Insight
Selling 10x winners costs investors more than holding stocks into bankruptcy
“He says the biggest mistake an investor can make is to sell a stock that goes on to rise tenfold, not from owning something into bankruptcy, but that's what everyone thinks.”
David Senra Oct 15, 2024 ▶ 29:36
Assertion Open · timeframe Oct 2024
Online retail made up just 3.1% of US sales in 2006
“3.1% of all retail sales happened online in the year 2006.”
David Senra Oct 15, 2024 ▶ 37:12
Assertion Supported
Amazon's 2008 holiday orders grew 16% while overall retail fell 10%
“On the busiest day in the run-up to Christmas this year in 2008, order volumes at Amazon were 16% higher than the previous year compared to the overall retail industry, which are down 10%.”
David Senra Oct 15, 2024 ▶ 40:43
Insight
Nick Sleep argues diversification increases investment risk when certain knowledge is scarce
“We would propose that if knowledge is a source of value add and few things can be known for sure, then it logically follows that owning more stocks does not lower risk, but raises it.”
David Senra Oct 15, 2024 ▶ 41:47
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